COVID-19 LOCKDOWN: A Necessary Inconvenience by Yinka Adeosun

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Nigeria Center for Disease Control (NCDC) yesterday reported 117 new cases of Covid-19 in Nigeria.

This took total confirmed coronavirus cases to 782 as of Tuesday, April 21, 2020; so far, 197 patients have been discharged, while 25 people have died.

The above statistics indicates that Covid-19 death rate in Nigeria is 3.2%. This still is on the high side.

It implies that out of every 100 confirmed coronavirus cases, about 3 patients die. And impliedly, 10,000 confirmed cases (God forbid!) could involve about 300 deaths. And here it becomes glaring the 3.2% Covid-19 death rate is very high.

It goes without saying that we must all take the stay-at-home order very seriously.

Here is the reasonπŸ‘‡

Mr X contracted Covid-19 yesterday, but he won’t know until approximately 14 days later.

Mr X thinks he’s healthy and is infecting 10 people per day.

These 10 people think they are fine; they move around and infect 100 people.

The 100 people also have a false belief they are healthy and move about infecting 1,000 people.

Now you can figure out the imminent exponential surge, should one flout the stay-at-home order!

No one knows who is OK or who can infect whom.

Do you now understand why it’s important to adhere strictly, sensibly and sensitively to the stay-at-home order?

π˜½π™š π™§π™šπ™¨π™₯π™€π™£π™¨π™žπ™—π™‘π™š. π˜½π™š π™§π™šπ™–π™¨π™€π™£π™–π™—π™‘π™š. π˜½π™š π™§π™šπ™–π™‘.

#stayHome #StaySafe #StaySmart

Yinka Adeosun, a veteran ICT Professional, resides in Lagos
email: consulting@ict.ng

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