Nigeria Center for Disease Control (NCDC) yesterday reported 117 new cases of Covid-19 in Nigeria.
This took total confirmed coronavirus cases to 782 as of Tuesday, April 21, 2020; so far, 197 patients have been discharged, while 25 people have died.
The above statistics indicates that Covid-19 death rate in Nigeria is 3.2%. This still is on the high side.
It implies that out of every 100 confirmed coronavirus cases, about 3 patients die. And impliedly, 10,000 confirmed cases (God forbid!) could involve about 300 deaths. And here it becomes glaring the 3.2% Covid-19 death rate is very high.
It goes without saying that we must all take the stay-at-home order very seriously.
Here is the reasonπ
Mr X contracted Covid-19 yesterday, but he won’t know until approximately 14 days later.
Mr X thinks he’s healthy and is infecting 10 people per day.
These 10 people think they are fine; they move around and infect 100 people.
The 100 people also have a false belief they are healthy and move about infecting 1,000 people.
Now you can figure out the imminent exponential surge, should one flout the stay-at-home order!
No one knows who is OK or who can infect whom.
Do you now understand why it’s important to adhere strictly, sensibly and sensitively to the stay-at-home order?
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#stayHome #StaySafe #StaySmart
Yinka Adeosun, a veteran ICT Professional, resides in Lagos
email: consulting@ict.ng
